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Zheng Xueqin the emerging countries should increas
The United States of AmericaChicagoBoard Options Exchangeof Zheng Xueqin of general manager ofthe European debt crisisis more thanthe United States of Americafinancial crisismore profoundcrisis,especiallyinemerging countries.Inthe United States of Americafinancial crisis,emerging countrieseconomic recovery is thewindow;inthe European debt crisis,emerging countrieseconomic downturnhas become areal threat.
However,theemerging countriesespeciallyChinais still in theexpansion of economicscale,improve the whole social welfarelevel,the governmentmay have agoaltoa certainarea and certainkey industryinvestment.
The United States of Americafinancial crisiscan be regarded astheperiodic economic crises.That is to say,itonly reflect theeconomic downturnphase characteristics,just in time,injection of liquidity,economicable torepair themselves.
Until now,the United Statesgovernmenttouse debt torepay the debtpolicy,stillfollow thislogic.The European debt crisisexposedis anotherkind of structuralcrisis.It reflectsthe economy of the developed countrydeleveragingprocess has entered into theexisting economicand socialstructurecannot affordstage.
The economy can be restored tothe normal cycle,the social system and the economicstructure mustbereformed.Germanyadvocated byeuro-zone financeintegration,implementation ofthisreformisone of the ways.
Regardless ofwhether the world economywillbottom twoemerging countries,currentchallengesare unprecedented,hollister,so the governmentto adopt what kind ofpolicy on economicdevelopmenthas a crucial role in.
Market economyemergingcountriesout ofpoverty,jordan,butif left unchecked,the market economywill be the firstchaseon the lowest branchfruit.On thecheap laborand moneydoes not flow to thecountry,the most direct wayisto export.
If the worldeconomiccrisisis a structuralrather than cyclical,doudoune moncler,sotherecoveryhopes in theresumption of exports,will bea strategic mistake.Although theAmericaneconomy still is in growth,butthe5 children eachhave 1below the poverty line,15 families each with1should rely on the governmentfood stampsto maintain life,the unemployment rate is 9%,with1/4insolventproperty,hollister outlet.
Before the financial crisis,abercrombie,the United Statesresidents throughtwo mortgagefrom the propertylendingconsumptionaccounted forthe United StatesGDP11,abercrombie and fitch.5%(1993-1997yearsis 2.5-3.8%),this situation is notlikely tooccur.
Exports to China,the United Stateswill stillis Chinamain export country,but byChinapopulationonly1/4the United Statesresidentsconsumption to stimulateeconomic development in China,the long runis not realistic.
In China,private enterprises aretoo small,too weak,in the face ofthe globalcrisissituations,economic transitionalsocannotrely on market forcesto theemerge of itself and perish of itself.
In addition to the supervision ofproduct quality,standardize the financialcapitalflow and adjust thegap between the rich and the poor,the government needs toincrease investment,especially for therelatively backward economylocal investment,to help achieve theeconomic transformation.
Since the financial crisis,there have been manyappear wrongeconomic theory.A typicalexample isthatChina causedthe financial crisis in the United States,this isunfounded.Recently,hollister deutschland,Professor Shen Xuansong of Princeton University(HyunSongShin)according to the bank for International Settlementsdatapublished a researchreport.
He points out,in 2007 before theoutside of the United Statesbankholds 10trilliondollar assetsfromthe United States,European banksto raise fundsto buylarge,then turn theshadow of AmericaBankloan product.
As a result of thesecapital flowsare in usforms,sosome economiststo ignore.The United Statespension funds holdingassetsin factoverChina.Therefore,emerging countriesto accumulate wealthis not wrong,it is important toaccumulatewealthmobilized,to bring up theoffspringof welfare services.
The emergingnational investmentanddevelopment speed ishigher than that of the developed countries,the imbalanceis normal,hollister uk.Otherwise,emerging countriesare alwaysemerging countries,developed countriesaredeveloped countries.
Chineseeconomy andgovernment financewithorfeeRedmanera in the United Statesare not the same.Keynesadvocated by thegovernment investmentto solve the problem of unemployment,maintain the socialdemand,abercrombie france,the goal is to keep theexistingeconomic dimensions.
Chinais nowin theexpansion of economicscale,hollister,developingstage.Friedmanthought that the governmentto compensate for theexpenses ofissuing moneywilllead to inflation,Chinais in order toimprove the whole social welfareanddevelopment investment,thegovernmentexpanded itsscale,the blindness ofsocial welfareis notthe same thing.
Inflationin emergingcountries,ina considerable period of timeis a threat,one important reason is thatthe factor of dollars.The Fedhad two basic goals,oneis to control inflation,the twois the guarantee ofemployment.
As long asthe United Statesdoes not pose a threatof inflation in theeconomy,the Fed willalwaystake the lowinterest rate policy,to promote employment.The United States of America seriousthreat of inflationfrom thewage incomeof large area rapidrise.
But because theemerginglaborprice competition,the United States of Americawage levelfor a long timenotquickly improve.Therefore,abercrombie,the Federal Reservewill be in for a long timeto keep interest rates lowor even zerointerest rate policy,the value of the dollarwould thereforehave long-termdownward pressure.
Because the dollaris the worldcommoditycurrencyandcommodity prices,inflationary threatwillalways exist.If emergingcountries in order tohedge against the falling dollarcaused bythe threat of inflationandcut governmentinvestment,then there will be balanceddepression .
Ifthe current crisisis not periodicbut structural,if the governmentpolicy guidance isthe key toovercome the present crisis,thento support the economyshould notjustmonetary easing,for whole economyto provide liquidity(the validity of this methodin the establishment of economicable torepair their ownideas),hollister uk.
For the emerging countries,the governmentmay have agoaltoa certainarea and certainkey industryinvestment.disclaimer this article representsthe views of the author,has nothing to dowithhexun.
com.And the newswebsitethestatement,theneutral,itcontains the contentthe accuracy,reliability or integrity ofanyexpress or implied warranty.The reader is only forreference,and please tobear all theresponsibility.
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